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Gun Toting Poll Watchers

By The Reverend Published: October 18, 2016

I don't think there is a better illustration of the faith-based/fact-based political divisions in the country than the alleged controversy over in person voter fraud. As with many of these GOP-alleged controversies.....with in person voter fraud, there is no controversy....

Most experts say voter fraud is extremely rare in the U.S., with one study by a Loyola Law School professor finding just 31 known cases of impersonation fraud out of 1 billion votes cast in U.S. elections between 2000 and 2014.

I know that doing numbers stuff is often difficult for people....but one doesn't need to be known as a human phucking slide rule in order to determine that 31 cases of voter impersonation out of 1 billion votes cast in U.S. elections over the last 14 not evidence of massive, or any other kind, of in person voter fraud.

The notion that in person voter fraud is a problem has been spread, dishonestly, by only one political party. The Republican Party. But see, dishonesty works quite well in the Home of the Free. During the 2000-2014 period mentioned above, 33 states have passed faith-based, voter ID laws to solve a problem that never existed. From state to state, GOP legislators pushed their dishonest justifications for what has, all along, been a, yes, massive multi-state effort to disenfranchise likely Democratic voters from the process. Which all proves that

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How To Get Away With Destroying The Federal Government

By The Reverend Published: October 17, 2016

Real Clear Politics has Arizona Senator, John McCain, leading his Democratic opponent, U.S. Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick, by an average margin of 16%. Point being that McCain isn't worried about the Trump effect hurting his bid for re-election. The state of Arizona, on the other hand, is a different matter. The RCP averaging poll has Trump clinging to a 0.7% lead in, the formerly reliable red state doesn't seem all that reliably red this year. But I digress.

Earlier this year....I'm too lazy to search exactly when.....I asked if there would be any more Supreme Court Justice appointments should Hillary become the president. Senate polling currently projects the next Senate tied at 50-50. Should Hillary win in a few weeks, and Democrats squeak out a tie or a razor-thin majority in the Senate...the only way a Hillary Supreme Court Justice nominee would pass in the Senate is if Democrats in the Senate vote the first week of the new Congress to toss the filibuster rule altogether.

However, if Dems take a majority in the Senate....the odious Chuck Schumer will likely replace the retiring Harry Reid as Senate Majority Leader....and I highly doubt that Schumer will be eager to shitecan the filibuster rule.

The reason Schumer will not favor doing away with the Senate filibuster rule.....a rule that allows the minority to stop the majority just about whenever they because in 2018, 25 sitting Democratic Senators face re-election while only 8 sitting Republican Senators do. Schumer will be fearful of gutting the filibuster, perhaps rightfully so, because of the potential damage even a thin-majority of Republicans in the Senate would inflict after 2018.

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Will It Be Over.....When It's Over?

By The Reverend Published: October 17, 2016

In the long term, the only way to break the stranglehold of obstruction elected-Republicans have placed on Congress, is through the redistricting process. This Politico piece reports that while Obama is hanging around D.C. for the next couple of years...he and former AG Eric Holder will be "taking on" the currently-rigged-in-favor-of-Republicans system.

...former Attorney General Eric Holder will chair a new umbrella group focused on redistricting reform—with the aim of taking on the gerrymandering that’s left the party behind in statehouses and made winning a House majority far more difficult.

In the 2012 general election, 1.17 million more votes were cast, collectively, for Democratic House candidates than Republican ones.....and yet Republicans wound up with a 33 seat majority in the U.S. House of Representatives. Yes, that is evidence that the redistricting done after the 2010 census was done specifically to "rig" the redistricting process.....undemocratically.

Good to see Obama and Holder making plans to head off yet another GOP "rigging" after the 2020 census.

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The Beacon's Pitiful Endorsement Of Rob Portman

By The Reverend Published: October 16, 2016

How about that Tribe, huh?

You can read the Beacon Journal's editorial endorsing the re-election of Republican Rob Portman to the U.S. Senate here. It's a pitiful endorsement.....and a disservice to those who still subscribe to the ABJ.

But the Beacon editorialists have a history of endorsing Republicans for the U.S. Senate, having endorsed eventual loser, Mike DeWine, in 2006 over Sherrod Brown. It was a ridiculous endorsement then, and endorsing Portman now is also ridiculous.

Let's take a look at the "thinking" behind endorsing Portman....

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Et Tu, WonkBoy?

By The Reverend Published: October 15, 2016

There has been quite a lot of focus on GOP House Speaker Paul Ryan over the past few weeks. Ryan has been touted by both-sides-do-it media as the reasonable, wonkboy of the Republican Party. He's neither...but that's the Village for you. Lately, Ryan has suffered some uncomfortable moments concerning his support of his own political party's presidential nominee. But this current Politico piece describing Ryan's latest remarks makes it appear like Ryan is now all-in on a Donald presidency. 

For the sake of's what Ryan said back in March...

"Instead of playing to your anxieties, we can appeal to your aspirations," Ryan said in a March speech titled "The State of American Politics," in the midst of the ugly Republican primary. "We don’t resort to scaring you, we dare to inspire you."

Get that? Ryan said that "we", Republicans, "don't resort to scaring you", rather, Republicans "appeal to your aspirations".

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The State Of The Race...And The Nation

By The Reverend Published: October 15, 2016

I suggested a week ago that this weekend's poll numbers would tell the tale for the presidential contest. Here are five weekend poll averages from five separate sources....

The Huffington Post Polltracker has Hillary's chances of winning at 91.9%. In a head-to-head matchup between Hillary and Donald, HuffPo today has Hillary up 49% to 41% nationally.

Larry Sabato's Crystal Ball site has the electoral college at 340 Clinton, 197 Trump. At Sabato's site this morning, the feature is an analysis of whether or not Democrats can retake the House. The Crystal Ball still sees Republicans hanging on to majority status in the House, but acknowledges that it is not a lock.

Nate Silver's 538 map has Hillary with 338.7 electoral votes to Donald's 198.9. 538 has the national popular vote percentages at Clinton 49.2% to Trump's 42.9%. Silver now has the chances of Hillary taking the popular vote at 89.8%.

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Obama Unshackled

By The Reverend Published: October 14, 2016

Remember when Obama said he was looking forward to going out on the stump for Hillary? The White House made a point of announcing late this summer that Obama was clearing his October schedule so he could go do what he does best. I encourage you to either find the Youtube of Obama's Cleveland speech today or read it here. When future historians write about the period we're in right now, they will make a point of including Obama's speech in Cleveland today. A few excerpts....

"You know, I notice her opponent -- he seems to be in the middle of the game, making excuses all the time for why he might be losing. And it's always interesting to me to see folks who talk tough but then don't act tough. Because if you're tough you don't make excuses. You don't start complaining about the refs before the game is even done. You just play the game, right?"

Obama is calling Trump the P word. That's effing brilliant. "if you're tough you don't make excuses" So very true. From experience, I know Obama is spot on there. The toughest guys I have ever known never whined. Obama is baiting Trump perfectly.

"He says he’s great at making deals. But, as I pointed out, I don’t know a lot of people who operate a casino and manage to lose almost a billion dollars in one year. Usually, the house wins. You know that saying -- the house always wins? Unless he owns the house; then it loses a billion dollars."

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Boxes Of Oh-So-Righteous Rocks

By The Reverend Published: October 14, 2016

Donald Trump Jr....explaining that "normal" people have conversations just like the one his father had with Billy Bush. In fact, Donald Jr. claims that when his daddy was yukking it up with Billy Bush about sexually molesting women without their consent....Daddy Donald was simply being a "normal person"....a "regular person like everyone else".

And because Donald Sr. was just talking like a "normal person" when he discussed sexually assaulting women without their consent, Donald Jr. thinks that the Access Hollywood audio tape is the kind of thing that endears Daddy Donald to the American people. Not kidding....

“I’ve had conversations like that with plenty of people where people use language off color. They’re talking, two guys, amongst themselves. I’ve seen it time and time again. I think it makes him a human,” Donald Jr. said in a clip first reported by CNN. “I think it makes him a normal person, not a political robot. He hasn’t spent his whole life waiting for this moment to run for the presidency.”

He repeated: “I think it means that he’s a human being that he’s a regular person like everyone else. I think that’s what endeared him to the American public.”

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Trump, I Guess, "Unshackled"

By The Reverend Published: October 13, 2016

Donald, apparently, is on a rampage today....

Presidential candidate Donald Trump used a South Florida rally before thousands of cheering supporters on Thursday to forcefully deny multiple allegations of sexual impropriety.

“These vicious claims about me, of inappropriate conduct with women, are totally and absolutely false, and the Clintons know it. They know it very well," he said.
“These claims are all fabricated. They’re pure fiction and they’re outright lies. These events never, every happened,” Trump said.

Politifact has determined that 71% of Trump claims on the stump are either Mostly False, False or Pants-on-Fire. So, first, when it comes to lying, Donald is a pro. But alas, second....with a 3 out of 4 lying rate, what is the likelihood that Trump is lying today?

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Yes, We Need A Special Prosecutor Appointed

By The Reverend Published: October 13, 2016

Conservative grifter and Trump campaign appendage, Ben Carson, last Saturday....

Carson claimed to have spoken with Trump about the possibility that more damning stories about the Republican nominee will be released.

“They have more things & they will drip them out,” Carson said, according to a tweet from the Fox host.

Today, five days later, The Hill is reporting on a few of those "more things"....

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