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Ohio Politics

Quinnipiac shows Kasich still with strong lead

By Doug Published: October 5, 2010

A Quinnipiac University poll continues to be find the most optimistic numbers for Republican gubernatorial candidate John Kasich. Polls by the Ohio Newspapers Organization and the New York Times show the race between Kasich and Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland to be much closer.

Here is what Quinnipiac released today:

Republican John Kasich holds a 50 at41 percent lead over Democratic incumbent Ted Strickland among likely voters in the race for Ohio governor, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today. This is down from a 54 at37 percent Kasich lead September 16.

President Barack Obama's trips to Ohio to campaign for Democrats have not been helpful in attracting voters to Gov. Strickland, as only 14 percent of likely voters overall and just 6 percent of independent voters say the president's visits make them more likely to vote for the Democrat, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University survey finds. In all, 33 percent of likely voters and 39 percent of independent likely voters say an Obama visit made it less likely they would vote for Strickland.

The two candidates are holding onto their party faithful, with Kasich getting 88 percent of Republicans and Strickland getting 86 percent of Democrats. But Kasich's 62 at29 percent lead among independent voters is responsible for his overall lead. Among the likely electorate, Strickland is viewed unfavorably by 47 percent and favorably by 41 percent, while Kasich is viewed favorably by 46 percent and unfavorably by 30 percent.

Only 14 percent of likely voters think Ohio's economy is getting better, while 45 percent think it is getting worse and 40 percent think it is staying the same. Strickland leads 88 at3 percent among those who think the economy is getting better and 55 at38 percent among those who think it is the same, but Kasich leads 76 at13 percent among those who think it is getting worse.

'Whether his fault or not, the pessimistic public mood about the economy is a problem for Gov. Ted Strickland and a plus for John Kasich,' said Peter A. Brown, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

The complete analysis and statistics can be found here.



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