Despite numerous reports that declared Friday's game versus Kent State as the conference championship, Tom Gaffney discovered two scenarios in Akron could win on Friday and yet not earn the title.
Both require the Zips to lose Saturday at Bowling Green...
1) If Eastern Michigan wins the MAC West and Akron/Kent tie at 12-4 -- If this happens, the tie is broken by the teams' records against the No. 2 seed, which would be EMU. Akron lost to EMU. Kent beat them. Kent is your champion. So can EMU win the West? It's a four-team race, with Ball State leading at 8-6 and the three directional Michigans following at 7-7. Although Ball State controls its destiny, EMU has the head-to-head tiebreaker over the Cardinals. Ball State plays two road games -- at Toledo and at Western Michigan. EMU has two home games versus CMU and NIU. It's way too hard to predict a four-way race with two games to go, but EMU's chances are as good as any.
2) If Eastern Michigan finishes ahead of Miami and Akron/Kent tie at 12-4 -- Once again, if the tie is broken by EMU, then Kent gets the title. Miami is 8-6, so it holds a game advantage, plus the tiebreaker via the head-to-head win in Oxford. EMU would have to win out; Miami would have to lose out (at Kent, vs. Buffalo). Possible? Yes. Likely? No.
Of course, the Zips can foreclose any possibilities of the MAC West champion determining their fate by beating Bowling Green on Saturday. EMU plays NIU tomorrow at 2 p.m. If the Huskies win, that will eliminate option 2, and it will make option 1 very unlikely.