I put the odds at about 5 percent that Akron could pull an Air Force and unexpectedly grab an at-large bid.
They were probably lower.
Not only did Akron not receive a bid, but they also didn't make ESPN's list of 12 finalists for four spots.
I thought the committee would be kinder to mid-majors following George Mason's march to last year's Final Four. Only six mid-majors earned at-large bid, down from eight in 2006 and 12 in 2004.