Container Top
Homes   Jobs   Cars   Shopping
Search

Events Calendar

EVENT SEARCH:

In This Section


Most Read Stories


Blogs:


Akron Law Café:
What's Wrong with Incarcerating People for Profit?

Car Chase:
Car Guy* Gatherings

The Heldenfiles:
"Survivor" Results: A Long and Winding Road … to Something Obvious

Patrick McManamon:
Browns GM Phil Savage meets media, defers questions about the future

Browns Bulletin:
Say hello to your new starting quarterback

Cleveland Browns:
Anderson done for season

Cleveland Cavaliers:
Does the LeBron James Saga Finally Die - for Now?

CavsHQ: A Fan's View:
What to Watch For - Cavs v. Pacers

Akron Zips:
Looking ahead to Dayton

Varsity Letters:
‘Gridlocks’ high school football recap

Kent State Sports:
Home winning streak snapped by St. Mary's

Ohio Politics:
Chambliss: Hey, Guess Who Impacted This Race?

See Jane Style:
Holiday Dressing Men’s Edition

All Da King's Men:
Should We Bail Out The Big Three Automakers ?

Blog of Mass Destruction:
Obama's Place In The Center For Moderate GOP'ers

HRLite House:
The ‘House’ Test

Akron Gamer:
Quick holiday game guide

Ohio Travels with Betty:
Where is the house featured in A Christmas Story?

Sound Check:
The Pretenders to play Akron Civic Theatre on Valentine's Day

Let's Talk Real Estate:
Johnny Rockets: A taste of the 50s!

Some investors see bargains, not doom

Intervention expected to prevent deep recession

By Alex Berenson
New York Times

Investors have convinced themselves that the credit crisis will push economies worldwide into the deepest recession since the Great Depression.

But since the Great Depression, governments have become far more aggressive about intervening when credit markets seize up or economies struggle. And those interventions have generally succeeded.

The recessions since World War II, while hardly easy, have been far less painful than the Great Depression.

Now some veteran investors, including G. Kenneth Heebner, a mutual fund manager who has one of the best long-term track records on Wall Street, say that the sell-off has gone much too far and stocks are poised to rally powerfully if the downturn is less severe than investors fear.

''The fact is, there are a lot of tremendous bargains out there,'' said Heebner, who manages about $10 billion in several mutual funds. Indeed, by many measures, stocks are as cheap as they have been in the last 25 years.

Heebner said the market plunge in the last week was no longer being driven by rational analysis. Stocks are probably falling because of a combination of panic and forced selling by hedge funds that must meet margin calls from their lenders, he said.

He said investors with a stomach for risk and a long time horizon should consider following Warren Buffett, who in the last three weeks has invested $8 billion in Goldman Sachs and General Electric.

Heebner is not alone in his optimism.

''I think in years to come — I wouldn't say months to come — we will perceive this as being a great value-buying opportunity,'' said David P. Stowell, a finance professor at Northwestern and a former managing director at JPMorgan Chase. ''Two and three years from now, it will seem very smart.''

Even before their jaw-dropping plunge of the last month, stocks were not expensive by historical standards, based on fundamentals like earnings and cash flow.

Now, after falling 30 percent or more since early September, stocks in stalwart, profitable corporations like Nokia, Exxon Mobil and Boeing are trading at nine times their annual profits per share or less.

Many smaller companies are even cheaper.

Stephen Haber, an economic historian and senior fellow at the Hoover Institution, said he believed that fear might have gone too far.

''If there is good and wise policy, and government moves effectively, this need not play itself out in ways like the Great Depression,'' Haber said.

Investors have convinced themselves that the credit crisis will push economies worldwide into the deepest recession since the Great Depression.

Get the full article here.


Story tools

Email  Email   Print  Print   Save  Save   Reprint  Reprint   Popular  Most Popular   Reprint  Subscribe

Share this story

AddThis Social Bookmark Button