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NFL preview capsules/Week 10

Raiders (3-5) at Giants (2-6)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Giants by 7.

The skinny: Eli Manning had to be licking his chops watching Eagles quarterback Nick Foles throw seven touchdowns against the Raiders last week. Somehow, the Giants are just two games behind in the loss column for first place in the NFC L-East division. There’s not too many teams I would even think about backing Big Blue as a big favorite, but the Giants have covered their last four home games as favorites. The 11th month hasn’t been too kind for the Giants: 18-40-2 against the spread (ATS) in their past 60 November games. Oakland quarterback Terrelle Pryor (knee) is expected to start, but the Raiders will be without running back Darren McFadden (hamstring). The Giants will make it three in a row.

The pick: Giants.

Eagles (4-5) at Packers (5-3)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Packers by 1.

The skinny: Packers quarterback Aaron Rodgers is out with a broken collarbone. The injury dropped the spread a whopping eight points after the Eagles opened as a nine-point underdog. Even without Rodgers, the Packers (35-17-2 against the spread in their past 54 home games) get the job done.

The pick: Packers.

Bengals (6-3) at Ravens (3-5)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Bengals by 1½.

The skinny: The Ravens suffered a surprising loss to the Browns last week, while the Bengals had a few extra days off after an overtime loss at Miami. Cincinnati is 5-2-1 against the spread in the past eight meetings, and the favorite is 3-0-1 against the spread in the past four meetings between these two. But I’ll take the defending champs at home in a “must-win” game.

The pick: Ravens.

Lions (5-3) at Bears (5-3)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Bears by 1.

The skinny: The Bears caught a good break when Aaron Rodgers suffered a bad break Monday night. Chicago will have quarterback Jay Cutler (groin) back in the starting lineup. The Bears, Packers and Lions (off a bye) are tied for first in the NFC North. The Lions, who haven’t won a division title since 1993, could very well be in the driver’s seat if they win this weekend and again on Thanksgiving against Green Bay.

The pick: Lions.

Rams (3-6) at Colts (6-2)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Colts by 9½.

The skinny: In the past 10 games, Indy is 9-1 against the spread against losing teams; St. Louis is 8-2 against the spread against winning teams. Also, the Rams are 7-2-1 ATS in their past 10 road games. Worth a shot.

The pick: Rams.

Seahawks (8-1) at Falcons (2-6)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Seahawks by 5½.

The skinny: These are two of the worst cover teams lately: Seattle is 2-4 against the spread in the past six games; Atlanta is 1-5. I just can’t back the Falcons in any way, shape or form.

The pick: Seahawks.

Bills (3-6) at Steelers (2-6)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Steelers by 3.

The skinny: The Bills should be bolstered by the return of quarterback EJ Manuel. Buffalo could use the help: The Bills are 31st in the NFL in red-zone touchdown percentage: 42.3 percent (11-for-26). The Bills are 1-5 against the spread in their past six road games.

The pick: Steelers.

Jaguars (0-8) at Titans (4-4)

Time: 1 p.m. today.

Line: Titans by 12.

The skinny: The Titans are 1-5-1 against the spread in their past seven games following a cover and 2-7-1 ATS in their past 10 against the AFC South.

The pick: Jaguars.

Panthers (5-3) at 49ers (6-2)

Time: 4:05 p.m. today.

Line: 49ers by 6.

The skinny: One of the best games of the week and two of the hottest teams to wager in the league. The 49ers have covered five in a row. As much as I like the Panthers, who are 4-1 against the spread in their past five games, I have a feeling the 49ers, coming off a bye, will win big.

The pick: 49ers.

Broncos (7-1) at Chargers (4-4)

Time: 4:25 p.m. today.

Line: Broncos by 7.

The skinny: I hope the scoreboard operator is ready for a workout in San Diego. The Broncos are averaging 42.9 points per game. The Chargers, who are 5-2-1 against the spread this season, and 4-2-1 ATS in their past seven games against the Broncos, has offensive firepower, too, so expect a lot of points in this one. Denver is 3-9-2 ATS in past 14 meetings against San Diego.

The pick: Chargers.

Texans (2-6) at Cardinals (4-4)

Time: 4:25 p.m. today.

Line: Cardinals by 2½.

The skinny: Houston is an abysmal 1-7 against the spread this season, but has been a good team the past few Novembers with a 7-3 ATS mark in its past 10 November games. Maybe the Texans will rally for coach Gary Kubiak, who left the Sunday night game on a stretcher at halftime. Here’s hoping for a speedy recovery, Coach.

The pick: Texans.

Cowboys (5-4) at Saints (6-2)

Time: 8:30 p.m. today.

Line: Saints by 6½.

The skinny: There have been some real good Sunday night games this season, and this is another one. Dallas finally found a way to win a close game last week, while the Saints were upset by the Jets. Jimmy Graham will feast on the Cowboys’ secondary. The Saints are 20-6 against the spread in their past 26 home games.

The pick: Saints.

Dolphins (4-4) at Buccaneers (0-8)

Time: 8:40 p.m. Monday.

Line: Dolphins by 2½.

The skinny: Welcome to the Dysfunctional Bowl 2013! Who would have thought there was an NFL team that would actually make the Buccaneers seem, almost, normal? Only thing making this game watchable is to count how many times commentator and former Buccaneers coach Jon Gruden says “Incognito,” “Martin” and “Schiano.”

The pick: Buccaneers.

Bye week: Cleveland, Kansas City, New York Jets, New England

— John Boell, Newsday


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