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NFL preview capsules — Wild-card playoffs

Chiefs (11-5) at Colts (11-5)

Time: 4:35 p.m. today.

Line: Colts by 2½.

TV: WKYC, Ch. 3

The skinny: In Week 16, the Colts won in Kansas City, 23-7, thanks in part to four Chiefs turnovers. Colts coach Chuck Pagano called Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles “public enemy No. 1” before the teams’ last meeting and still holds Charles (1,980 total yards) in the same regard. The Chiefs have the best road record against the spread this season (7-1). However, Colts quarterback Andrew Luck has a 13-3 mark overall at home and 12-4 record against the spread in his first two seasons. The Colts finished the season strongly, winning three in a row and four of their past five, and don’t forget they posted huge wins at home against the respective top seeds in this year’s playoffs: first against Seattle in Week 5, then Denver in Week 7.

The pick: Colts, 27-20.

Saints (11-5) at Eagles (10-6)

Time: 8:10 p.m. today.

Line: Eagles by 2½.

TV: WKYC, Ch. 3

The skinny: The Eagles, led by Nick Foles and coach Chip Kelly’s fast-paced offense, exceeded expectations this season en route to the NFC East title and have won seven of their past eight games. The forecast for kickoff is 24 degrees with light winds and no precipitation. Many think the cold will freeze Drew Brees & Co. I’m not so sure. There’s no bigger Jekyll & Hyde team as far as home-and-road play than New Orleans. The Saints (8-0 at home overall) are 3-5 on the road and just 1-7 against the spread. New Orleans, which averaged 34 points per game at home, scored 17.8 points per game away from the Superdome and didn’t score more than 27 points in a road game. However, this is the postseason. Tight end Jimmy Graham will have a monster game as the Saints earn their first postseason road win after five failures.

The pick: Saints, 31-24.

— John Boell, Newsday


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