SIMFEROPOL, CRIMEA: Within days of Crimea being swallowed up by Russia, the lights began flickering out.
Officials in the peninsula accused Ukraine of halving electricity supplies in order to bully Crimea, which voted earlier this month in a referendum to secede and join Russia.
“Cutting supplies is an attempt by Kiev to blackmail Russia through Crimea,” Crimean Prime Minister Sergei Aksyonov wrote on his Twitter account.
Aksyonov’s combative reaction reflects a sobering reality for Crimea: the strategic peninsula’s overwhelming reliance on electricity and water supplies from mainland Ukraine. The Kiev government, which has been unable to prevent the Russian annexation, still wields a weapon it can use to bargain with its aggressive neighbor.
Crimea currently gets about 80 percent of its electricity and a similar share of its water needs from Ukraine.
But Ukraine also needs to be careful not to hit Crimeans too hard over electricity and water. It cannot afford to be seen hurting ordinary people as it argues that the region remains part of its territory.
Analysts say that Ukraine will likely be able to charge higher prices for power and water supplies to Crimea, but won’t get any leverage on political and security issues.
Ukrainian authorities have described power cutoffs to Crimea this week as simply the result of technical maintenance and insist they would do nothing to harm residents. Russian officials have rushed to the rescue with hundreds of diesel generators and started drafting plans to connect the region’s electrical grid to mainland Russia, which is separated from Crimea by the Kerch Strait. They said a possible water shortage could be offset by more efficient use of existing resources.
Those reassurances have provided little comfort to Filipp Savchenko, 29, the owner of a refrigeration and logistics business in Simferopol, the Crimean capital. Savchenko said Tuesday that the power had been out for two nights at his warehouse, where he stores about $9,000 of produce daily for his clients.
“With the help of the generators we have, we were able to survive,” Savchenko said. “But if they turn [the electricity] off in the future or for longer, we won’t be able to cope. We’ll lose our produce and business owners will have legal issues with us.”
Dependency on Ukraine
Regardless of the intention behind the recent blackouts, they have underscored Crimea’s dependency on mainland Ukraine. They also highlight its lack of a real contingency plan if Kiev does decide to pull the plug. Russia’s long-term projects could eventually snap Crimea’s reliance on Ukraine for good, but that could take years.
Russia’s Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev said this week that a quick solution for the power problem could be to use a transmission cable to hook up the peninsula to Russia’s power grid across the Kerch Strait, which is 2.8 miles wide at its narrowest point.
Russia has dispatched diesel generators, including some big units used as a back-up during the recent Sochi Winter Games. Russian Emergency Situations Minister Vladimir Puchkov said Tuesday that his agency had already delivered 1,400 diesel generators to Crimea.
For the longer term, the Crimean regional government has pushed the idea of building two power plants on the peninsula. Ambitious infrastructure projects in Russia are typically blighted by major overspending and corruption.