I would guess there are a number of readers of this blog that are a bit worried...maybe even more than a bit...that Donald Trump may pull out a victory over Mrs. Clinton in 6 weeks.
Yes, the national and swing state polls have tightened since August. The timing of the poll tightening seemed to have something to do with the three words "basket of deplorables" and whether Hillary committed a press-felony by not informing them 3 seconds after she started feeling rough because of her Parkinson's disease....check that, because of her bacterial pneumonia. Those two crimes will likely be enough to draw up articles of impeachment in the Tea House come January.
I attribute the poll tightening to those two issues, but it's not just the issues themselves. It's also the....I still claim....virtual hystericalization of those two issues via the media's 24/7 blanket coverage of them. But, then, you must remember that the same media outlets in the late 90's assisted vengeance-seeking Republicans as they took another pissant issue, fibbing about consensual sex in a civil suit deposition in a case later thrown out of court.....as an opportunity to impeach a popular, twice-elected, Democratic president. The point is...there's a history here.
According to this electoral map, Mrs Clinton can lose all of the following states: Iowa, Ohio, Florida, Nevada, and North Carolina....and still wind up with 272 electoral college votes, Two more than she needs to win the presidency. Do I believe that Hillary will lose all those listed states? No. But even if it happened, Trump still loses.
Moreover, the first polling results are in....polling partially conducted after Monday night's presidential debate. Hillary seems to have gotten a 2-5 point "bump"....and now leads in a national Morning Consult poll by 4%.
Coming up next Tuesday night is the vice-presidential debate between Tim Kaine and Mike Pence. I don't expect much from that debate. Further, does anyone remember much about the 2012 Biden v Ryan VP debate? Me either.
Then, on Sunday night, October 9th comes the 2nd presidential "townhall" debate with moderators Martha Raddatz of ABC and Anderson Cooper of CNN. Will Donald work hard preparing for the second debate? You know, study up on issues, policies and what not....so he is better prepared than he was on Monday night? You decide....
“There were early efforts to run a more standard form of general election debate-prep camp, led by Roger Ailes, the ousted Fox News chief, at Mr. Trump’s golf course in Bedminster, N.J,” they (NY Times) report. “But Mr. Trump found it hard to focus during those meetings, according to multiple people briefed on the process who requested anonymity to discuss internal deliberations.”
When Trump showed obvious disinterest, Ailes responded not by pushing Trump, but “by discussing his own problems, as well as recounting political war stories, according to two people present for the sessions.”
"Trump found it hard to focus".....which also serves as a description of Trump's entire campaign. Do you believe that Trump is disciplined enough to be able to overcome his inability to "focus" on debate prep before October 9th? I don't either.
But that NY Times quote also raises the issue of Roger Ailes' role in the Trump campaign. So far, I have not seen main media making a big phucking deal out of a serial-sexual harrasser/predator and now-disgraced former Fox News CEO playing such an important role in the GOP nominee's campaign. Oddly, I have not seen any media-obsessing, or attempts to hystericalize all 24/7 like...the fact that Ailes and Trump are working so BFF closely. I wonder why that is the case.
Yesterday, we learned this about Mr Ailes.....from former Fox "eye-candy" Andre Tantaros' former therapist....
“I have a very clear recollection that Andrea was very upset that Mr. Ailes had (a) unsuccessfully asked her to turn around for him so he could view her posterior, (b) unsuccessfully asked her to hug him, (c) asked her if she planned to marry, (d) discussed his negative views about marriage, (e) asked her questions about the sexuality and sexual relationships of other people working for Fox News, and (f) made insulting comments about a number of women working for Fox News.”
That, after Gretchen Carlson taped Roger Ailes saying this to her......"I think you and I should have had a sexual relationship a long time ago, and then you'd be good and better and I'd be good and better. Sometimes problems are easier to solve" that way, he reportedly said in one of the taped conversations.
Furthermore, Ailes' former scheduler at Fox recalled this....
In one detailed recollection of an encounter she had with the executive early on in their relationship, she recalled dancing for him in a private room after putting on a black garter and stockings. After getting on her knees in front of him, she recalled, “he began speaking to her slowly and authoritatively, as if he were some kind of Svengali: ‘Tell me you will do what I tell you to do, when I tell you to do it. At any time, at any place when I call. No matter where I call you, no matter where you are. Do you understand? You will follow orders. If I tell you to put on your uniform, what are you gonna do, Laurie?'”
Do you wonder why Roger Ailes' rather significant role in Trump's campaign hasn't become a big phucking deal in corporate media? Because I wonder about that. But, then, I wonder why America's voters have not been fully informed about these Donald Trump quotes about females.....
"You know, it doesn’t really matter what [the media] write as long as you’ve got a young and beautiful piece of ass.”
“You have to treat [women] like shit.”
Final question. Do you think that rudely interrupting America's first female presidential candidate some 73 times in 90 minutes qualifies as "treating women like shit"?